Posts Tagged ‘VC funding’

Future of Venture Capital

Saturday, January 23rd, 2010
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Today I was reading one of my favorite VC blogs AVC by Fred Wilson about “The Venture Diet is Working“, where he says:

2010 will be an interesting year. If VC investments go back up to $25bn to $30bn per year, then the diet didn’t stick and we are back to an overfunded industry that will produce subpar returns on average.

If, on the other hand, the new normal is $15bn to $20bn per year, then the diet worked and we’ve scaled back the business to healthy levels.

This comment relates to he’s earlier post about the “Venture Capital Math Problem“, where he explains about the problem that – too much money will make the whole VC industry to under perform.

As this is one of the reasons we have started Grow VC, I wanted to point out that things are not the same everywhere. So here’s my take on the topic:

I think this is similar problem than it is with food. In some western countries there is too much food and problems that are associated with that, like obesity. Yet in many parts of the world, people are starving.

So if some markets in the world have too much money in VC, it does not mean there is too much money overall, it’s just wrongly distributed. I do understand that, there are also problems with having too much money per sector, so that nobody is getting good results, but that too is wrong distribution.

Early VC money should always be going towards new innovation and not to be “me too in the popular segment” – there are plenty of problems in the world for entrepreneurs to solve & VC’s to be successful.

If we think that “Four Years After Founding, Kiva Hits $100 Million In Microloans“, I feel that it’s a strong indication that entrepreneurship in all shape and sizes can be instrumental on reshaping our world for the better.

There is a big gap between what Kiva.org is doing and with these problems of having too much money in venture capital in some regions. For us this shows that there needs to be much better distribution, more transparency and more activity in this segment overall – and this is exactly where we are focusing our efforts.

Here’s my dialog with Fred, on the “Venture Capital Math problem” 8 months ago:

Me:

I think this just shows that money does not solve problems. The problem here is not too much money, but how it’s now distributed.

VC industry is starting to look like the newspaper industry ;) – better to wake up, the blogs are coming…

Fred:

What are the blogs of the VC business?Things like Y Combinator are great but they are feeding us even more opportunities so I see them as additive, Although I also see blogs as additive for the newspaper business if they’d just see themselves as curators and aggregators instead of content creators

Me:

I guess the closest thing to “blogs of VC industry” today are angel investors. But that’s for today. Also Y-combinator and the likes are great too and could be considered as “blogs of VC industry”. However their “next step” need to change away from just VC’s.

The fundamental change will become, when there are “platforms” for anyone to start a “blog for VC industry” and that’s what we are doing in www.growvc.com.

Overall, we feel that in long term the money will be spread to more potential start-ups and more of them will not go via IPO but just buy back of shares, mergers etc. with lower ROI. But that’s OK if the time for ROI is shorter and cost of management is lower.

So – be more direct, spread wider, lower the management cost, speed up the ROI cycle and you can accept lower ROI.

If you think about the structure of today, from where the VC money really comes from, you start to see the “big picture”. – basically it means that individuals like you and me pay for pensions funds etc. and these funds then invest to VC funds. VC’s then make investment decisions and “manage” the investments, all the way to take it public (hopefully). Basically just to sell it back to us…

When more people will start to understand this cycle because of more info and transparency online (if they are interested), people will not accept this structure. Because in the long run what matter is, if the companies in question sell what matters. And that is not a question of size.

Fred:

Got it
I hope this works
It would scale much better

Related to this topic, below is a very interesting speech given by Fred Wilson at talks@google. You need to spare an hour to look the whole video, but I feel it’s well worth it. Just have some popcorn & coke and relax.

What makes it interesting to me, is that those industries that are going to be disrupted by internet in the future, currently have same issues what Venture Capital does, yet for some reason those would not apply to VC industry.

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Why investment agreements are secrets?

Sunday, November 29th, 2009
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Do you know a VC that is ready to publish their investment agreements? I haven’t seen too many. And if you ask about this, some venture capitalists don’t like the question. They start to explain, how it is a benefit of both parties to have confidential agreements. I agree there are

Investment Agreement

details that can be confidential, for example valuation, but is it really necessary to hide all terms and conditions. Would it be good for entrepreneurs and for the whole startup business to know openly terms and conditions from different companies before any decisions?

Why I raise this questions. Because many entrepreneurs feel they have been cheated when they finally understand all details, e.g. liquidation preferences, anti-dilution, and decision veto terms. I think it is not so much a problem with top tier VC’s that really make success stories. But there are so many tier 2 or lower VC’s (e.g. local ones in Europe and elsewhere) that don’t make too many success stories and they play with terms and conditions to get ROI for themselves but nothing for founders or business angels that have invested before VC’s. I know many entrepreneurs or business angels who have done big mistakes with their first company. Often people are not willing to talk about these experiences.

Grow VC is going to use public investment terms and conditions for its investment concepts (e.g. the new model we launch in January) and we also publish guidelines for angel investments. We also try to develop concepts that put all parties to more equal position. We believe it is also the best for businesses. It must the common interest of all parties to get benefits from the success of a company. And we want that all parties can comment and develop these concepts.

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Breaking Through The Broken

Thursday, January 29th, 2009
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grow heroFew days back I got an email from Chris Mottau at North Venture Partners. In his email he says that “he feels, we share the same vision” and that he became very excited about what we do;  “I love the mojo of your blog” – in his words.

He also wanted to share their new guidebook called Breaking Through The Broken: The Transparent Guide To Overcoming The Inefficiencies In Early Stage Venture Capital. -saying that he thinks I will like it.

Sure enough, I really did. It’s well written, up to date, quality piece (33 page of reading) and it’s really good overall view to current funding climate and to various problems that exists. What I really like about it personally, is that it does covers many of the latest and new emerging services that are trying to help change things in these currently broken models of early stage funding.

I asked if I can highlight some of my favorites from this piece in our blog and he said: “I’m glad you enjoyed the document, feel free to share it on your blog…it represents a good deal of work for us of which we are very proud”.

So here are some of my personal favorites:

Early stage investing will always be considered a high risk, high reward game. But what if there were smarter, more efficient tools that enabled both investors and entrepreneurs to optimize the process by making the investment process “less gut” and “more guided”? Could we eliminate some of the fear and confusion surrounding early stage investing and begin to truly optimize entrepreneurship?

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This all raises the question; what is the early stage investor community currently doing to optimize entrepreneurship and increase the success rate of their investments?

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On one side there are the mysterious “deal makers” who might seem easy to reach with the click of a mouse, but in reality are incredibly difficult to engage with meaningful dialogue. On the flip side, there are the passionate entrepreneurs who are eager to find out what an experienced investor thinks of their “big idea,” but usually hear back nothing at all after submitting their materials for consideration.

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Start-ups are now cheaper to launch than ever before, as $500K has become the new $5 million. Primarily because basic software that was once absurdly expensive is now free (open source), and astonishingly good hardware (or virtual processing power) is now very affordable.

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To change our future we need to re-think the past. Moving forward into  an era of collaboration and transparency isn’t just a nice idea; right now it’s an imperative.

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The cold fact is that most investors still won’t even glance at a business plan unless it’s gotten a referral from a credible third party. It’s not only about who you know, it’s also about how you know them. Entrepreneurs and business plans referred by others who have proven to be good filters for garbage ideas, often float to the top of the pile. How else do you expect investors to filter through 34 years of reading material? Everything else usually gets dumped into the circular filing cabinet. Today most investment deals come down to personal TRUST, which is pretty hard to create in a virtual world.

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“The real issue is that getting financing is difficult and inefficient for the investor. I’m having to create a whole slew of personal relationships, networking, etc… – just to get small amounts of money. While I like being social and getting out there, it’s slow. We need a Wal-Mart model for “common’ money” (i.e. under $500k using a typical business model). The real issue is that many people could be funded so much more efficiently, with better returns, if the industry was more transparent.” – Adam Nelson, Founder of varud.com

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“With Angelsoft, all of the personal aspects of Angel investing seem to be removed from the equation. My materials are submitted through Angelsoft forms, and then disappear into some system that encourages a group of busy angels to evaluate the opportunity in a black box. Do they like it? Do they hate it? Do they even read it? I have no idea, since I have never heard anything!” – comments a disappointed entrepreneur.

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Remember, investors (like Hollywood studio executives) see and hear of thousands of deals a year and have very little time to spend on them. If your idea doesn’t fit into their “box of knowledge”, it’s going to be quite difficult to break through and earn a second meeting. If you can’t narrow down your business to a sticky single sentence, you’re probably not ready to get in front of an investor anyway.

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Paul Graham, a prominent Silicon Valley entrepreneur and Angel investor sums up the feeling of many entrepreneurs when he said, “VCs that suck less are all about disclosure and transparency.” To truly produce fundamental change and foster innovation it’s time for investors to allow entrepreneurs to see the world from their side of the table.

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Note: one other insight that can be pulled from the real estate market is the standardization of deal documents and terms. The liquidity of real estate hinges upon the simplicity of the standardized paperwork. Just imagine the efficiencies that could be gained from standardized deal terms in early stage venture investing.

Like said these are just some of my favorites from this great guidebook. Make sure to read the whole “Breaking Through The Broken: The Transparent Guide To Overcoming The Inefficiencies In Early Stage Venture Capital.” It’s really worth it. And please, make sure you let us know how you like it.

Thanks Chris for sharing this.

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