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Posts Tagged ‘Fred Wilson’

Building a Startup Ecosystems and Government role
Sunday, May 9th, 2010
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I came across this great article in Bloomberg Business week with a topic “Why Boulder is America’s Best Town for Startups“, the article talks about Boulder and how they have build their startup ecosystem and also what is a good role for government. I think this is a very timely topic to many cities around the world, so I wanted to also cover this topic here as well.

There’s no denying the power of the Silicon Valley as the global leader when it comes to startups. That said, it really does not help so much the people outside the Valley and even less the cities around the world that are trying to build their own vibrant startup ecosystem and that’s why I personally see the case for Boulder Colorado, much more appealing for cities around the globe to take a note.

The history of Silicon Valley goes all the way back to great gold rush, so it’s easy to understand, that the model to build a such ecosystem can not really be learned from the Valley alone.

There have also been many posts about this topic, like this Article by Fred Wilson “Startup Ecosystems Take Time“, where he also points to some other articles. The main point about these discussions is about “how long does it take?”

If Silicon Valley have been 50 years of making, Fred and others seem to agree that for any new ecosystem it will still take decades to build and get it work, but here’s where I disagree. – It does not need to take that long and that’s good news for cities that are just starting to see the undeniable change force of the entrepreneurship and are in their early days of building a functional local startup ecosystem.

I think this article in Bloomberg Business week explains a great example of how long (or short) in reality it can take to build a vibrant ecosystem, when it’s driven with passionate people and the whole city is behind it. As shown in Boulder it only took about 4-5 years and that’s half or less that what Fred and others are thinking.

So what are the new factors that accelerate the process of building the local startup ecosystem:

  • First, there’s no denying the power of the Internet here, access to information, tools, people etc. is just so much easier than what it’s been a decade ago, and this leads to faster cycles of learning everywhere. It’s got a some what similar effects of what you have in “living in a small town” where everyone knows each others and news, gossips etc. move so much faster.
  • In addition to this knowledge that is passed around faster and faster, it also means that those people that have already done the full startup entrepreneurial cycle: “entrepreneur-> serial entrepreneur & mentor -> mentor & investor” become aware of the ecosystems elsewhere and understand that there are new opportunities and also new and interesting things for them to learn as well.
  • This enables these new ecosystems to tap into these people as well to enable to accelerate their local ecosystem developments like newer before, like the TechStars in Boulder have done as well.

To be honest I’m a bit surprised that Fred, who’s an active investor in many companies building these tools that enable legacy models to be disrupted and increase the flow of information, knowledge and everything that can be transferred as bits,-  don’t see the power of these tools that are also shaping the process of building the startup ecosystems in cities around the world.

My favorite method to showcase the fast pace of online is this video from Socialnomics author Erik Qualman, where he also describes the size of Facebook as; “if Facebook would be a country it would be the 3rd largest country in the world”.

This says a lot, but at the same time if all Internet users would be a country it simply would be the largest country in the world, and there too a startup ecosystem is needed and that’s why we are building the Grow Venture Community.

One of our messages when we are describing Grow Venture Community, is that we are building a Virtual Silicon Valley. That explains a lot about the way we think about the future of the startup ecosystems.

In that article, there’s also a great side note about what governments should do and this is a very important detail to take a note:

When I ask longtime players about local government, they shrug. When I ask them about state government, the common refrain is that the best thing it can do is invest in education and otherwise stay out of the way. The lesson here is that it doesn’t take billions in government spending to create a thriving industry cluster. Instead, with a little luck and lots of hard work by residents, local economies can be shaped from the bottom up.

I strongly agree, this is crucial for any government and other public organizations to understand – the best thing they can do is to facilitate, but other than that let people shape it.

In global level this is very much our own position as well, as it’s not about what we do – as it is about people coming together to start great things and to solve problems of all kinds. – So we too only build tools to facilitate this and host these activities for Virtual Silicon Valley, by taking our role to develop and serve the needs and activities for those using our platform. And we also want to open our platform for others to develop for it as well.

But we also want to help the local ecosystems to make it easier to tap in to global resources and that’s why we are building local platforms that are globally connected, because by combining the virtual an physical worlds and activities together, that will be the real winning combination for everyone.

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Future of Venture Capital
Saturday, January 23rd, 2010
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Today I was reading one of my favorite VC blogs AVC by Fred Wilson about “The Venture Diet is Working“, where he says:

2010 will be an interesting year. If VC investments go back up to $25bn to $30bn per year, then the diet didn’t stick and we are back to an overfunded industry that will produce subpar returns on average.

If, on the other hand, the new normal is $15bn to $20bn per year, then the diet worked and we’ve scaled back the business to healthy levels.

This comment relates to he’s earlier post about the “Venture Capital Math Problem“, where he explains about the problem that – too much money will make the whole VC industry to under perform.

As this is one of the reasons we have started Grow VC, I wanted to point out that things are not the same everywhere. So here’s my take on the topic:

I think this is similar problem than it is with food. In some western countries there is too much food and problems that are associated with that, like obesity. Yet in many parts of the world, people are starving.

So if some markets in the world have too much money in VC, it does not mean there is too much money overall, it’s just wrongly distributed. I do understand that, there are also problems with having too much money per sector, so that nobody is getting good results, but that too is wrong distribution.

Early VC money should always be going towards new innovation and not to be “me too in the popular segment” – there are plenty of problems in the world for entrepreneurs to solve & VC’s to be successful.

If we think that “Four Years After Founding, Kiva Hits $100 Million In Microloans“, I feel that it’s a strong indication that entrepreneurship in all shape and sizes can be instrumental on reshaping our world for the better.

There is a big gap between what Kiva.org is doing and with these problems of having too much money in venture capital in some regions. For us this shows that there needs to be much better distribution, more transparency and more activity in this segment overall – and this is exactly where we are focusing our efforts.

Here’s my dialog with Fred, on the “Venture Capital Math problem” 8 months ago:

Me:

I think this just shows that money does not solve problems. The problem here is not too much money, but how it’s now distributed.

VC industry is starting to look like the newspaper industry ;) – better to wake up, the blogs are coming…

Fred:

What are the blogs of the VC business?Things like Y Combinator are great but they are feeding us even more opportunities so I see them as additive, Although I also see blogs as additive for the newspaper business if they’d just see themselves as curators and aggregators instead of content creators

Me:

I guess the closest thing to “blogs of VC industry” today are angel investors. But that’s for today. Also Y-combinator and the likes are great too and could be considered as “blogs of VC industry”. However their “next step” need to change away from just VC’s.

The fundamental change will become, when there are “platforms” for anyone to start a “blog for VC industry” and that’s what we are doing in www.growvc.com.

Overall, we feel that in long term the money will be spread to more potential start-ups and more of them will not go via IPO but just buy back of shares, mergers etc. with lower ROI. But that’s OK if the time for ROI is shorter and cost of management is lower.

So – be more direct, spread wider, lower the management cost, speed up the ROI cycle and you can accept lower ROI.

If you think about the structure of today, from where the VC money really comes from, you start to see the “big picture”. – basically it means that individuals like you and me pay for pensions funds etc. and these funds then invest to VC funds. VC’s then make investment decisions and “manage” the investments, all the way to take it public (hopefully). Basically just to sell it back to us…

When more people will start to understand this cycle because of more info and transparency online (if they are interested), people will not accept this structure. Because in the long run what matter is, if the companies in question sell what matters. And that is not a question of size.

Fred:

Got it
I hope this works
It would scale much better

Related to this topic, below is a very interesting speech given by Fred Wilson at talks@google. You need to spare an hour to look the whole video, but I feel it’s well worth it. Just have some popcorn & coke and relax.

What makes it interesting to me, is that those industries that are going to be disrupted by internet in the future, currently have same issues what Venture Capital does, yet for some reason those would not apply to VC industry.

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